Tories Spoiling for a Fall Election!

Looks like the Conservatives want to "Rock and Roll" into a fall election, checkout this link http://www.cbc.ca/politics/story/2010/07/08/tories-senate-election-threat.html and follow the poll link as well and read the kind of comments it's getting and the votes for those comments.  I'm thinking that a Tory Election Call could be a big mistake for them but only if we work together to some extent with the Liberals and NDP, to ensure we are not diluting the center/left vote so much we are handing the seat to the Cons.  Maybe an outright coalition, or maybe just an agreement to not run in ridings that would likely produce a victor other then a Tory, if the opposition goes into a fall election doing the same old same old, with the Liberals as weak as they currently are, we could hand it to the Conservatives.

It's time to suck it up and get serious about winning, we need a progressive government, and with the conservatives poised to move to "Austerity", and the damage that will do to the poor, the environment and the working class, we can't wait any longer....

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Withdrawing candidates

Since we are operating under FPTP, I have to agree with this. At a minimum it would be helpful if the Greens did not run a candidate in the Catch 22 ridings where the incumbent Conservative candidate is vulnerable and there was a strong second-place finisher in the last election. Note these are only Conservative-held ridings, so there are obviously other close ridings where the Green vote could split the progressive vote in favour of the Conservatives.

We Hold the margin in a lot

We Hold the margin in a lot of the ridings, when you look at the numbers it is often the vote that goes green alone that is the difference between the second place and First place finisher, never mind the rest of the progressives.

Hi Ron, I respect and admire you but ....

Hi Ron, I haven't been as active on these blogs as I once was but I do catch a few of your posts and comments now and then. I think you are usually on the money. But, this time, I'd ask you to reconsider any implication that Canadians should vote for a Party other than the Green Party. It will prove to be an untenable position to hold onto from inside the Green Party.

Consider this angle, a kind of 'support the troops' message: Our candidates and their supporting volunteer teams put a lot of effort into building Green political support and raising the Green Party's visibility.

Instead of implying they withdraw their candidates or that their supporters should vote for another Party under some circumstances, what they need and fully deserve is unqualified gratitude and support for their campaigns. In every riding.

 

Ard Van Leeuwen (Dufferin-Caledon, ON)

The views I express on this blog are purely my own and should not be construed to represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Actually we hold the margin in very few ridings!

See my response here.

"People of good faith, figuring out where we are, not falling victim, making choices, based on our values, with the best available information." These views are my own and do not represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Sorry, this is very misguided

Re: Michael's point and Catch 22 Above

Even if this worked in all the ridings listed the conservatives would still have a minority government!  All this does is make people cynical and turn off of politics.

You have to give people something to vote for, and that is what the Green Party is doing better than anyone else.

See my blog here.

"People of good faith, figuring out where we are, not falling victim, making choices, based on our values, with the best available information." These views are my own and do not represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Catch 22

First, let me clarify as well that it would be preferable for any withdrawal of Green candidates to be the result of a negotiation with the other opposition parties where there is some benefit to the Greens (eg agreement to bring in PR and/or saw-offs to increase the likelihood of Greens being elected).

I may respond in more detail later, however note that Catch 22 isn't limited to 22 ridings - please see the campaign FAQ for details.

Strategic Voting is Still Wrong

OK so there are 30 ridings that have now been listed.

Still not enough to switch the balance of power.

Still makes voters cynical and disenfranchised.

Still a bad idea.

Sincerely,

Matthew Piggott
Kitchener Centre

"People of good faith, figuring out where we are, not falling victim, making choices, based on our values, with the best available information." These views are my own and do not represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Re: Catch 22

From the Catch 22 FAQ I linked to:

"Our strategy is to work in a limited number of ridings (about 30 to 40) where the Conservatives are vulnerable enough to be defeated.

[...]

Here are the Catch 22 ridings presently included in the campaign. We will further evaluate conditions across the country and add additional ridings as it becomes clear where we can best focus our campaign."

The 30 or so ridings listed are just a start. You can see details about how we selected the ridings here, as well as some factors we will consider for additional ridings. We don't expect to expand much beyond 40 as then we'd be getting into ridings that are much harder to win, and where there may not be an obvious best candidate to endorse. Really, it is about doing the best we can for progressives under first-past-the-post. It isn't a general strategic voting campaign for all 308 ridings.

In my view, this doesn't disenfranchise voters. It empowers them to take control as best they can under the current system, and it also highlights the flaws with our voting system (winner-take-all; rigging the system). The folks working on this campaign are big supporters of proportional representation, and promoting voting reform is part of this campaign as you can see from the FAQ.

The Greens really aren't a player in any of these ridings, so while it may reduce the vote subsidy (by what possible percentage range you could probably figure out if you crunch the numbers and make some estimates), it isn't otherwise much of a threat to the future success of the Green Party. Indeed, defeating the Conservatives may save the vote subsidy, so depending how you look at things this campaign may not be so hostile to the Green Party after all.

There is a fatal flaw in your argument

Michael, quick question, where were all the strategic voting people in Kitchener Centre last election?

Unfortunately nobody was even watching because the Liberals had won by more than 5,000.

That's the problem, you can't use past results to predict if a riding will be close.

Same thing happened in Kitchener-Waterloo. It was a Liberal "safe" riding because the candidate had won by 12,000 votes.  Then the Conservatives won by 17.

See this blog here from Pundit's Guide.

I also agree that we need PR. Why don't we work together on that instead of wasting time on voting schemes that won't work?

Sincerely,

Matthew Piggott
Kitchener Centre

"People of good faith, figuring out where we are, not falling victim, making choices, based on our values, with the best available information." These views are my own and do not represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Kitchener

Well, as you know Catch 22 didn't exist at the time of the last election. Also, Catch 22's approach is to target Conservative held ridings and both of those Kitchener ridings were Liberal at the time. We may reassess this in future, but our thoughts are that it's up to incumbents to get re-elected based on their records and level of local and central party support.

You still haven't answered the question

Dear Michael,

Well your group specifically didn't exist, but what about voteforenvironment.ca?  They completely missed it.

You still haven't answered the question raised here. The question is why:

more of the seats that changed hands in an election had previously been won by margins of more than 5%, than had been won with margins under 5%

 So why are you choosing to target "close ridings"?  Again, you don't know a riding is close until AFTER the election.  You admitted in another post that "we realise it isn't an exact science" so why are you wasting time and energy on an idea that simply won't work?

Sincerely,

Matthew Piggott
Kitchener Centre

 

"People of good faith, figuring out where we are, not falling victim, making choices, based on our values, with the best available information." These views are my own and do not represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Strategic voting

Well first, of course it works to some degree. That's pure mathematics and statistics and logic. I really don't need to defend that, because it is obvious.

The 5% question is a red herring. That statement will be true at some percentage point, be it 8%, 5%, or 3%. This author says it is true at 5%. So what? It doesn't matter.

The only issue is how effective are strategic voting campaigns. What we say in our FAQ is that the "success of strategic voting campaigns is determined by how strongly the public wishes to see a particular party or candidate defeated, and how well the campaigns are organized and carried out."

Also, you can see from the Duke University study that "a substantial number of voters who did not vote for their most preferred party” in the 1988, 1993, 1997, and 2000 federal elections. So there is no question that people will vote strategically.

The other thing to keep in mind is that we are targeting Conservative-held seats. There is no downside here for progressives.

Why are we targeting close ridings? (1) We want to focus our efforts on winnable ridings, avoiding stronghold ridings where a strategic campaign is unlikely to succeed; (2) We wish to avoid endorsing a candidate, asking voters to vote for that candidate even if he/she isn't their first choice, when that candidate's chances of winning are slim. By targeting a limited number of winnable ridings with pre-determined criteria, and endorsing the strongest non-Conservative candidate in each (currently some Liberal, some NDP, and a couple Bloc I believe), overall it is fair to the opposition parties.

Death to Strategic Voting and ABC

This is wrong on so many levels. You are essentially advocating strategic voting. We must be the only party in Canada that has such a problem with going out there and earning as many votes for themselves as they possibly can, damn the torpedoes. Elections Canada defines a political party as an organization that puts forward candidates for the purpose of winning elections, not for the purpose of ‘educating the public’ or ‘stopping some other party’.

We are not here to ensure that Conservatives don’t get elected. We are here to get Greens elected. We aren’t here to define ourselves as ‘opposite of Conservatives’. We are Green, we have a unique political offering and the best way to advance our agenda is to show that we can keep increasing our vote in every single riding and maybe elect a few MP’s in the process.

The GPC flirted with supporting strategic voting in the 2008 election. It was a bitter failure, nearly cost us our leader and left many campaign workers and volunteers wondering why they were working for their local candidate when other GPC people were messaging ‘hey, maybe it’s ok to vote Liberal or NDP if it keeps out a Conservative’ (ie, the ABC strategy or Anything But Conservative).

If you really want to keep Conservatives out, let’s convince their moderates to vote Green instead. Our values of living within our financial and environmental means actually resonate with some Conservative supporters. Go figure, about as many of our members and supporters were former Conservative supporters as were former Liberal or NDP supporters.

And, the more votes we earn the more financial support we receive (ie,  $2.00 per vote per year subsidy). As long as this government subsidy continues we’d be leaving money on the table by not running candidates in all 308 ridings. More importantly, we wouldn't be giving all Canadians an opportunity to vote Green if we ran fewer than 308 candidates.

 

Ard Van Leeuwen (Dufferin-Caledon, ON)

The views I express on this blog are purely my own and should not be construed to represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Who will make that decision &

Who will make that decision & when would they do it? As a candidate in a Catch 22 identified riding I have worked very hard for name recognition & educating the general public. I am about to embark on some major fundraising & what a disappointment to those who contribute to the Greens only to have their candidate of choice withdraw because it's felt the 'other' candidate has a better chance of winning.

Gail Bates

Withdrawing candidates (2)

I'm not sure about the who and when.

If this is to be done, it should be clearly explained to voters that we are withdrawing certain candidates, because we have done the polling and we know the likely consequence/risk of Green votes in those ridings. Most importantly, we should emphasise that we would not have to take this unfortunate step if we had proportional representation. We should also be clear that we will continue to work in the riding to increase support for the Green Party for the next election, but that we would sit this one out for the best interests of the country. Alternatively, we can explain that we want their $2*x, never mind the environment and all the other issues that the Harper Conservatives excel at.

We should be pushing much harder for PR. We appear to have passed on a great opportunity to press the issue, namely responding to the letter from Fair Vote Canada from January (which didn't seem to reach us). I would have thought a public response from the Greens would put pressure on the other leaders to reply as well and spur some more public debate about it.

Withdrawal method = failure

The withdrawal method is known to be about the worst possible way to try and prevent something unwanted from happening. Both in sex and in politics.

Withdrawing Green candidates to try and affect races is futile, because Green voters aren't sheep who will then vote for whatever other party we point them at. Many Green voters are former supporters of other parties (from across the spectrum) who don't want to go back. If we withdraw, they'll make their own choices or stay home.

Green candidates don't elect Conservatives, that's a myth. In most Canadian ridings, more people don't vote at all than vote for the winner (Conservative or otherwise). Greens have a relatively strong draw from that pool. When we don't run, all it does is lower the voter turnout and silence the Green voice.

The 2008 election had the most comprehensive "strategic voting" campaigns ever, with several "non-partisan" websites attracting major media and hits as they tried to advise you how to vote in your riding to unseat Harper. (And almost none of that advice said "vote Green"). The result? Voter turnout dropped, Conservative vote share went UP, number of Conservative seats went UP. The "best-chance" second-place candidates almost uniformly lost vote share. Gee, what a victory.

Canadian voters hate being told who to vote (or not vote) for, and even more hate have the choice being made for them through strategic withdrawal - as we saw in Central Nova. The only thing a party can do with dignity is ask voters to support them. Telling them to vote otherwise only kills your credibility - it doesn't foster obedience.

The idea that we can "clearly explain to voters why we are doing this" is facile because it ignores that we are not in contact with our voters! We don't have them identified - at best, a fraction - and we don't have the money to get that kind of message out there effectively. We barely even have the budget to spread a "vote Green" message - trying to spread "vote for this other party because they aren't as un-Green as Harper" is futile. Most voters will never hear the message, all they'll know is there is no Green on their ballot. With a uniform "vote Green" message in all ridings, we can grow somewhat. With a mixed message (vote Liberal here, NDP here, Bloc here, and Green here) we do nothing but confuse and annoy voters and generate antipathy towards ourselves, trying to act like kingmakers or something. Trying to game the system. Trying to split our loyalties. Acting like we own the votes of our supporters and can swap them off to someone else, like so many slaves. Undemocratic, un-Canadian, that's how it's seen by the public.

This whole topic is a disaster which should be dropped, buried and composted.

Erich Jacoby-Hawkins, Barrie ON - although I'm on Cabinet (Nat'l Rev. and Ecol. Fiscal Reform), views here are my own and may not reflect official GPC positions. Please visit www.ErichtheGreen.ca

Well stated.

Very well stated, Erich.  Thank you for that information about the "success" of the anybody but Harper websites from the 2008 election.

"Sudbury" Steve May

Consider that forming a

Consider that forming a partnership/coalition/merger, is not the same as just withdrawing a candidate for future quid pro quo considerations - its the creation of a candidate representing a new coalition;  the Green-Democrats, or the Canada Priorité Coalition.

Would this affect some current Green candidates individually, yes. But except in a few ridings (where we would be sure to maintain our candidate), they would never be elected anyway given the current situation. So other than personal status what is there really to lose.

Respectfully, D. Scott Barclay

No such party

To have a coalition candidate on the ballot isn't possible, because it would require registering a new or merged party with Elections Canada. Given the constitutional requirements which must be met in order to dissolve or merge an existing party, it's a rather long process that likely would fail before it were completed. So really, it's just about withdrawing candidates - a bad idea.

What there is to lose is the 1000%-plus gains the Green Party has made in the past 6-7 years. I don't think we should throw that away on a gamble and set ourselves back decades. And I don't see any evidence that we've reached a "plateau" and need to try something other than growing our own vote and organization.

Erich Jacoby-Hawkins, Barrie ON - although I'm on Cabinet (Nat'l Rev. and Ecol. Fiscal Reform), views here are my own and may not reflect official GPC positions. Please visit www.ErichtheGreen.ca

Who can decide a candidate can't run?

It is my understanding that this decision should and can only be made by the local riding association (EDA).  Since Kitchener Centre is supposedly targeted for strategic voting(eventhough we know that doesn't work), I will proceed with the assumption that only we can make that decision.

Matthew Piggott
Kitchener Centre

"People of good faith, figuring out where we are, not falling victim, making choices, based on our values, with the best available information." These views are my own and do not represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

The only green vote is a Green vote

We absolutely need to put a stop to this nonsense.  As Ard indicated, the call for strategic voting is wrong for so many reasons.  He gave us a few.  Gail gave us a couple of other reasons.  Here are a few more:

First, it's wrong to assume that if we withdraw a Green candidate from a race, those votes will go to the Liberals or the NDP.  That's just an assumption.  Some voters will turn to the Conservatives; other Green supporters will stay at home.  Take a look at the recent Ekos poll, where Green voters were to identify their second choice parties.  Yes, Green voters didn't choose the Conservatives very often (only 10.3% of the time, but keep in mind that's still a higher percentage than we Greens managed to tally in the last federal election, so we're not talking about something trivial here).  More interestingly, Green voters indicated that over 31% of the time that their second choice would be....NOBODY.  Which brings me to my second point:

Voting for the Liberals or the NDP, or the Bloc for that matter, isn't going to mean that we end up electing a government which gives a damn about the environment, or many of the other issues which are important to Greens.  I'm sorry, but a Liberal government headed by Ignatieff would be almost as bad for Canada as a Harper government.  Indeed, a majority Liberal government might even be worse.  Remember that Ignatieff is on record saying that the tar sands need to proceed.  His party supported scuttling the Canadian Environmental Assessment Act. 

No, the only green vote is a vote for the Green Party.  That's why we must offer this option to every Canadian.  It's wrong to believe that withdrawing our candidates will lead to electing the NDP or the Liberals (and it's wrong to believe that would be a good thing).  It's equally wrong to believe that keeping a Green in the race is actually helping the Conservatives win, for the same reasons in reverse.  This is a more insidious argument which Greens are often faced with.  We're told that we shouldn't be running people in an election because it helps the Conservatives.  Again, nonsense.

Rather than working towards keeping our candidates from running in elections, all Greens should be committed to doing what they can to see that all Green candidates have the best possible opportunity for election when the ballots are ultimately cast.  That's a better, and worthier goal, not just for our Party, but for Canada.

Please, let's stop going on about the need for Strategic voting.  It's very distracting, and does the Party no good at all.

"Sudbury" Steve May

Trying to win without splitting the vote...

I really simple solution to the question of strategic voting is to target the 40-some percent of folks in our ridings that aren't planning on voting at all.  If we focus our energy on encouraging first time/disenfranchised voters to register and head to the polls for us we don't need to worry about splitting anything.  In fact, if we do it right, we may be able to give the other parties a good run for their money and build a new base that can carry us into future elections.

In my riding the Cons have the religious, traditionalist, and money votes locked up, the Libs own the strategic voters who figure anything else is a wasted ballot, and the NDP draws their usual base of old Labour and NDP lifers.  None of these parties here is actively reaching out to youth, radicals, marginalized groups, and disenfranchised folks in any meaningful way.  These groups are the 40% who don't want to vote for anyone, the 40% that have no voice in our democracy, and the 40% that can make the difference between Greens continuing to be seen as a vote splitting 4th (5th) party and being a force for positive change in our country.

Let's just imagine some scenarios...

1) If give it our all, play the game like everyone else, and duke it out over the voters who usually turn out we might get lucky and rob an additional 5% nationally from the other parties (I mean if we get REALLY lucky). We also risk splitting the vote and ending up with another few years of the Conservatives.

2) If we play the strategic game and pull candidates from contested ridings we will in all likelyhood continue as we have historically (small increase/decrease or remain the same).  In this scenario progressives still lose because the winner will either be the Cons or Libs... neither of whom represent anyone but corporatist interests who got us into this mess in the first place.

3) If we focus our attention on the potential voters who are ignored by everyone else (the pissed off/apathetic 40%) we are no worse off than in scenario 2 and may, in fact, walk away with a few extra percentage points.  In addition, we might also introduce people to a party that actually represents their views and gives them opportunities to make a difference in our country.  That's what happened to me when I bumped into our local GP reps at a community event on the "wrong side of the tracks".  It was seeing Greens building relationship with voters like me that made me feel like my vote might actually mean something again.

So, with all of that said, why not break out of the false dichotomy between winning elections and strategic voting and look at alternatives that are both good for our communties and good for our party.  If we really believe in democracy let's do something increase opportunities for people to get involved in it.  It's a win/win.  People will have a voice (many for the first time) and we will have the opportunity to build relationships with voters that may last a lifetime.

Jamie Hoskins / Chilliwack-Fraser Canyon Greens

 

BTW... here's a link to an Elections Canada survey that I stumbled on while I was doing some quick research for this post.  It's from 2003, but still provides really interesting analysis of the reasons for declining voter turnout in Canada.  The page on reasons for not voting is particularly interesting.

Get Serious!

Folks, I sent this out to ignite a debate, and frankly I have not heard much to sway me to the contrary. 

I have heard;

  1. Not true to our green philosophy – whose green philosophy, certainly not mine, I think we educate the debate by our existence but our voice is disappearing in our continual losses at the ballot box.
  2. We would lose some of our per vote $ - If the feckless Liberals go into a fall election as they are the conservatives will win a MAJORITY and their first order of business will be to end the subsidy so this is not relevent
  3. We would leave the green vote un answered in some ridings -  Yes and No, it’s in how you sell it, the only reasons we should buy into this is to get at least one green elected and even more importantly we have to have a written agreement to bring in PR, almost 1 million green voices are silent in Parliament, that has to change.
  4. No guarantees – That’s life
  5. The Liberals are not very green either – True but at least they are not actively hostile toward the environment either.
  6. If we keep going as we are we will continue to grow 1 or 2% and eventually win – keep dreaming if we don’t get our million votes someone to speak for them in Parliament they will go somewhere else
  7. 40% of people don’t vote let’s get them out for us – who says they would vote for us, I think they are simply the lazy and apathetic, all the election is, is a really big poll, it is likely if we got 100% of the vote out we would have a similar percentage breakdown.
  8. If Harper gets a majority, he will be so bad, come the next election the electorate will jettison him so far he will never get back – “W” got re-elected
  9. “The GPC flirted with supporting strategic voting in the 2008 election. It was a bitter failure, nearly cost us our leader and left many campaign workers and volunteers wondering why they were working for their local candidate when other GPC people were messaging ‘hey, maybe it’s ok to vote Liberal or NDP if it keeps out a Conservative’ (i.e., the ABC strategy or Anything But Conservative).” – I don’t believe in strategic voting and I’m not talking about it, this would have to be an alliance with definite pay offs for success, anything less is not worth our time.  And I’m not sure what you mean about costing us our leader.

I am a Green because I believe in what we stand for and I think our new ideas and fresh approach will be good for Canada…..but if we keep going as we are we will peak and then decline, if we haven’t already.

Staying the Course

Ron, it's always good to hear from you.  While you and I seem to agree on many things, this strategic voting concept clearly isn't one of them.  And that's ok, in my opinion.  Greens don't need to agree on everything.  Best of luck to us if we had to do that.  I'm very happy to hear again about what's attracted you to the Green Party; largely, it's the same for me, and I try to blog about those sorts of things as often as I can.

I, too, have expressed concerns in the past about our "peaking" and about decline.  Specifically, I'm concerned that 2008 might have been our highwater mark, and the next election might show a small decline in vote share.  For this reason, I've indicated that I believe it's absolutely crucial that we elect an MP in the next election, for if we both decline in vote share and fail to elect a Green MP, that could be the proverbial writing on the wall for this Party.  And that would be a very bad thing, I think.

Polling over the past year, though, seems to suggest that maybe my concerns about decline have been misplaced.  We've continued to trend up in polls, hovering around the 10% mark when polls are put together.  In those polls which are prompted (ie. the pollster identifies the "Green Party" rather than leaving it to the person being polled to make the connection themselves...so, in other words, very similar to what appears on a ballot), we've done even better.  EKOS, for example, consistently has us above 10%.  To me, this seems to suggest that we're still in the running.  And every time a pollster says that the Greens will win X number of seats, well, that re-inforces us a legitimate contender in the minds of voters.  Pretty much since January of this year, the pollsters have been saying we'll win.  Good messaging.

So I'm not out of tune with you're saying about decline.

The reasons you've summarized, above, against strategic voting are, in my opinion, fairly considerable.  I would not discount them in the same way that you do.  For example, the per vote subsidby is very real.  Yes, it's likely true that a Conservative majority would get rid of it.  But until that happens, it remains a very significant and very real consideration for our Party.

As far as the Liberals not being openly hostile to the environment, I'm not sure that I would agree.  They just might have better PR, and certainly there are some in that Party who are proponents.  But under their current leadership, I don't see it.  In fact, I see that the Liberals continue to have a very "business as usual" attitude.  Ignatieff might talk about high speed trains, but he votes against destroying the Envrionmental Assessment Act.  Not exactly user-friendly on the environment.  And that's but one example.

So, I like your summary, but I think it amounts to more than you give it credit for.  But it has to do with the way that we look at things.

Some have suggested that we follow the approach of the UK Greens, and focus only on a few ridings in the next election.  Two things about that: first, the UK electoral system is quite different in terms of financial rewards/penalties for running candidates, which lead smaller parties to a more focussed approach (the same is not so in Canada; in fact, it's the opposite).  And two, we're largely doing that anyway, as the lions share of our Party resources is going to be directed to those ridings where we have the best chance of winning.  And I believe that makes absolute sense. 

So, let's wait for the results of the next election, which may be sooner than we had hoped, and after the results are in, then we can give some serious consideration to future directions.  For now, we should stay the course.

"Sudbury" Steve May

Wait?

 

OK, let’s take best-case scenario; Greens get 4 seats. I know that I have been opinionated and over-dramatic in my messaging, the intent was to provoke rethinking and debate, but ask you to possibly forgive me once again in this instance for saying – ‘so what’?

If Stephen Harper gets a majority – its all over. He will ram through a bill cancelling public funding for political parties. And he now has a hand-picked GG to favour him in the event of a constitutional crisis. Without public funding, the Greens, the NDP are critically enfeebled. Voilà, we have a 2 party system – just like the States, just the way the Oil boys want it. Both parties beholding to large corporations for funding.

Mr. Fischer did not advocate strategic voting necessarily, but some kind of coalition. The other parties are too proud and stubborn to initiate it on their own. The Greens are in an excellent position to act as the impartial broker to effect an agreement. That doesn’t mean the GPC gives up, you work even harder. It means you pool your powers. Right now the Conservatives do not have a majority.  At worst it will send a chill through the Conservatives, that they can no longer do anything they want. At best it creates a real opposition. For just this moment, we and the other opposition parties have the advantage.

 

Respectfully, D. Scott Barclay

What Fair Vote put to Opposition Leaders

This is the gist of what Fair Vote was asking us (and other parties) to consider:

...your parties, which together represent a substantial majority of Canadian voters, should use the prorogation to re-examine your various agendas and devise a shared action plan for democratic reform.

* Together you should draft legislation to provide Canadians with a democratic voting system and democratic financing of political parties.

* Together you should devise an electoral saw-off sufficient to give Canadians, after the next election, a Parliament with a clear majority committed to implement the democratic reforms.

Each of you should now be asking: does my party really want democratic representation for all Canadians, and what will my party risk or sacrifice, now, to achieve it?

This is important to Canadians, for democracy, and for the Green Party. I really don't understand why we aren't, or don't appear to be, moving on this. Is it a non-starter? Have we tried recently to engage the other parties in this sort of discussion, or do they not bother talking to us?

I'm here to win, you should be too

We are not the Anti-Conservative Party of Canada.  If you aren't in this to win or at least make an attempt at winning then perhaps you are a better fit at Greenpeace.

I joined the Green Party of Canada to make a change in our nation by becoming part of the system - not blindly raging against it.

Strategic voting is not in our or the nation's interests.

Don't EVER relate me to Greenpeace!

For the record I believe in the Green Party and its new and innovative RANGE of ideas I am not an environmentalist, I'm a Canadian that understands how important the environment is to everything but that it is not everything on it's own to a political party.  I joined the Greens because I saw them as a good party with good ideas not just the best of a bad lot, or a protest vote but I was very frustrated with our lack of political acumen, professionalism and seeming innability to compromise.  A lot has changed in the last 5 years but as I have said here and elsewhere we are not an activist group, we are a serious political party with platforms and objectives and a purpose, that purpose is to represent those that vote for us on the platform that we create, every loss is a let down to those that vote for us, I feel for the volunteers I am one of them, not just a bloger but our volunteers will understand if we unite in our messageing to them, that done right this will be better for us in the long run.

I a member of the GPC not ABC

I think any candidate even casually endorsing strategic voting even if it isn't in their riding and even if it isn't during the writ period should be replaced.

Not everything goes to plan

Here's the biggest flaw with strategic voting and the Greens pulling candidates in order to see Conservative MPs lose... you are expecting 100% of Green supporters to line up behind Liberal or NDP candidates.  Nothing in life is that absolute (except death and taxes!).

You can review polls about voters second choice in the ballot box or detailed breakdowns of how each party's supporters see the other party leaders' ability to govern.  There are Greens who have the Conservatives as a second choice and don't mind the leadership of Stephen Harper.  I also was told that there were Greens in 2008 that voted Conservative in order to balance off the strategic voting comments being made.  These are Greens who didn't want to see a Liberal government.

We are a big tent party that draws from the right side of the spectrum just as we pull from the left.  We have small-c conservative policies that attract old PC's and old Reformers and they aren't overly keen on voting Liberal or NDP.  By removing the Green option, they will default to the Conservatives.

The only option for Greens is to run Green campaigns for Green candidates and get enough Greens elected that we form a Green government under the FPTP system.  Trying to circumvent the system via strategic voting or pouting about how we'd have 14 seats in a PR system is self-defeating.  The only way we will see PR at the national level is to do it ourselves and that means a Green government (or a large enough caucus to demand this as a negotiating tool.)

 

Mark Taylor (Cypress Hills - Grasslands)

http://ReportonGreens.blogspot.com

This statement is purely my own opinion and no way is to be mistaken for the viewpoints of the party

Nine Reasons to Keep Running

1. "Ignarper".  I don't really think that if we had a Conservative government or a Liberal government that we would have any substantial difference or approach to solving the problems that our country has today.  The Liberals would still be racking up a huge amount of debt to bail out the economy, they would allow the oil sands to proceed as planned, and they still would have wasted $1B on the G20/G8 photo-op.  It doesn't matter if you vote for the Conservatives or the Liberals, you are still going to get Ignarper.

2. Right to Lose. Any party that doesn't support our policies deserves to lose votes, and if that costs them seats - all the better.  We have a different point of view on how to make Canada a sustainable country and a real partner in the world community again that is vastly different from the approach the other parties will take.  Until such time that these parties adopt our policies on mass, until such time that energy, environmental, and economic sustainability are the status quo policy of all parties there is a reason for the Green Party to exist.

3. Momentum. We are the only party that is growing election after election.  Don't doubt for a minute that we are not on the cusp of a breakthrough.  Who would have thought that the "Reform Party" would have became the leading party in the country, but that's what happened. They got one seat, and in the next election they took off.   In anything, whether it be sports, business, or politics the one thing you don't do when you have the momentum is to take your foot off the gas.  People are fed up - they don't want to vote for Conservatives or Liberals - we can be that choice for them. 

4. Passively Aggressive.  The Liberals may not be actively hostil towards the environment, but you can do just as much damage by ignoring it.  How much work actually occurred to curb Canada's carbon emissions when the Liberals were in power? How much effort was undertaken to make Canada energy sustainable?

5. Disenfranchised.  If you can get the voter who doesn't vote out to vote, they will vote for you.  This is the experience of the Obama campaign.  The put a significant amount of effort at reaching those who felt they had no voice and made them feel engaged again.  This can be very powerful if done right.  So yes, if we can get that 40% out that doesn't vote, they will have a propensity to vote for us.

6. Alliances are made after elections and not before.  Until we have seats in the house of commons we have no bargaining power.  This is the experience in the British Parliament during the last election.  The Liberal Democrats would have had no real say about policy or direction before the election, but because they became "king maker", they had a signficant amount of pull.  We will have this opportunity - if we get 5 to 10 seats and can make the difference between 2 parties leading, or help form a coalition then we will have leverage to ensure that our policy and our voters voice is heard. Like insisting on proportional representation.

7.  Rigged Voting.  Any attempt at forcing a voters hand by limiting their choice in an election will be seen as a distortion of the electoral principals that we hold so dear, and trust me, Harper will use it against any party that takes part. He will galvanize voters in a way that we have never seen and it will backfire.  Let the NDP and Liberals do  this and destroy themselves. 

8. Our Supporters.  We have supporters who have made significant investements in our party because they believe that there is a reason for us to exist and want our policies to become more popular. They expect and deserve a return on that investment.  I'm not just talking about dollars, but also about time in terms of volunteering.  Asking our candidate to step down gives the a return of zero.

9. Long Term.  We are going to be significantly more popular in the next few elections, not 12% where we are today, but 30%-40%.  This is just my opinion, but here's my reasoning. 

a. The Climate - as it becomes clear that the climate is getting wierder more voters will align to our point of view. 

b. Energy - we have most likely hit peak oil, and as energy costs start to rise because of a declining resource base of energy more voters will align to our point of view on energy sustainability.

c. Democracy - the more that Harper and the Conservatives abuse the democracy that we have today the more that voters will become upset and align to our point of view.

d. Demographics - the voters that are our biggest supporters today, but don't generally vote will become regular voters.  Those that do vote on mass will increasingly align to our point of view.

In summary - we have the right platform, and the right policies to put Canada back on the right path, the trends are in our favour.  The other parties can continue to alienate voters and we will pick them up along the way.  But we must continue to run and to push forward or we will be seen as just any other party - only in it for the short term power grab, and not in it for the long term sustainability of our country.

Kevin Smith

Candidate - Pickering-Scarborough East.

 

Solving Problems with Creative Forward Thinking Solutions.

Negative voting accomplishes nothing and defeats true progress

Ron, here is the abridged set of reasons to completely avoid negative voting.

1.  As Erich has pointed out above and in other posts, it simply does not work.  Voters in general and Greens in particular resent being gamed and having their choices restricted.  Nobody wants to be told how to vote.

2.  Even if it did work, you presume that a Liberal minority is somehow better than a Conservative minority.  Check the history .. in three successive majority governments the Chretien Liberals achieved nothing in terms of environmental progress or proportional representation.  They campaign left and govern right.  After the Dion experience of 2008, do you think Ignatieff is going to suddenly turn into a bold advocate for the environment (or for anything else, for that matter)?  Dream on.  He would do whatever the polls told him to do, just like Harper does.

3.  The NDP has repeatedly demonstrated that when they have formed provincial governments, that the first thing they bury is the need for proportional representation.  PR is the only solution to the madness that is negative voting and to restore public participation in our elections.

Only the Green party is commited to making every vote count through proportional representation.  Politics is power.  Power comes from the number of votes in the ballot box.  Seats or no seats, our growth comes from the individual Canadians who choose to support us with their vote, their money and their time.  To suggest that they should trust those whom we do not trust ourselves is the cruelest form of betrayal.

Jim Johnston, Lambton-Kent-Middlesex Opinions expressed are my own.

Stephen Harper's greatest

Stephen Harper's greatest attribute is that his opposition is divided into four parties. That’s the reality; which blind faith in the Green platform and hard work will simply not overcome - given our present electoral system.

Politics has been described as the ‘art of compromise’. There comes a time when in order to rescue a country it must be considered. It depends how you view Stephen Harper: (1) as just a regressive conservative that can’t do much harm, or (2) as a man on a mission to retract our parliamentary democracy and transform Canada into a mirror image of a George Bush’s Republican America. 

I believe his speeches and record demonstrate the latter, and agree:  there needs to be some kind of coalition to stop splitting the non-'extreme-right-wing' vote that is the vast majority of Canadians. (70+%). Strategic voting has dangerous pitfalls. But perhaps the Greens could act as a broker/negotiator to initiate a coalition movement.

There’s absolutely nothing wrong with a coalition movement and/or government. In fact in Europe its the essence of their democracies, in that it represents the ‘majority’. Democracy isn’t about getting it all your own way, or nothing. 

Respectfully, D. Scott Barclay

Strategic voting supports status quo

Many Canadians vote strategically. The net effect of this is to support the long term status quo of the power base.

I believe in and promote voting for something. When you vote strategically, you are opting for second best (or lower).

I have been approached by the three other parties to ask me to put my name forward to be a candidate with them. I chose the Green Party because I believe it has the best vision for Canada.

When we encourage strategic voting we divide and defeat this vision. 

 

John Streicker Yukon Green

More reading for members on 2008 election

Some of the issues raised here are touched on in this Federal Campaign Committee Report on the 2008 Election: http://greenparty.ca/node/8715 .

For those interested, accessible to members only when logged in.

Ard Van Leeuwen (Dufferin-Caledon, ON)

The views I express on this blog are purely my own and should not be construed to represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Great Debate so far, but let

Great Debate so far, but let me clarify, I don't advocate strategic voting I am suggesting a coalition of sorts.   We need to face reality, right now we have one of the most regressive governments in Canadian History only held in check by a minority. The Liberals are in total dissarray, the global warming debate is effectively over, people are constantly questioning our extream weather, healthcare is in crisis, education is flagging, unemployment is relatively high, the world is still in the midst of the worst ressession we have ever seen with the potential for a double dip, the bee's are dieing, pollution is out of control, infrastructure failing everywhere, governments in deficit and massive debt world wide, voter turn out is declining and democracy in Canada is being seriously threatened and undermined both by the reformer Harperites and the FPTP system.  I can't think of a better situation for the Greens then now, and while we are up in the polls we are still not up all that much and we don't have any ridings we can point to and say "those are ours to lose".    In my mind at this time we should be polling way over the NDP and at least challenging the Liberals, that's not happening, and since it's not what are we going to do about it?  and even more importantly, we are the second choice for so many voters of all stripes, that's nice but has anyone asked them why we are not the first choice, I have.....

But first I have to mow and trim my lawn with my electric mower and electric trimer and spread some organic fertilizer (Cow Poo, and loam) as my neighbors in my high density townhouse row are starting to give me dirty looks.  By the way anybody got an organic dandilion killer that works, or at least a recipe for salad?

Great Debate so far, but let

Great Debate so far, but let me clarify, I don't advocate strategic voting I am suggesting a coalition of sorts.   We need to face reality, right now we have one of the most regressive governments in Canadian History only held in check by a minority. The Liberals are in total dissarray, the global warming debate is effectively over, people are constantly questioning our extream weather, healthcare is in crisis, education is flagging, unemployment is relatively high, the world is still in the midst of the worst ressession we have ever seen with the potential for a double dip, the bee's are dieing, pollution is out of control, infrastructure failing everywhere, governments in deficit and massive debt world wide, voter turn out is declining and democracy in Canada is being seriously threatened and undermined both by the reformer Harperites and the FPTP system.  I can't think of a better situation for the Greens then now, and while we are up in the polls we are still not up all that much and we don't have any ridings we can point to and say "those are ours to lose".    In my mind at this time we should be polling way over the NDP and at least challenging the Liberals, that's not happening, and since it's not what are we going to do about it?  and even more importantly, we are the second choice for so many voters of all stripes, that's nice but has anyone asked them why we are not the first choice, I have.....

But first I have to mow and trim my lawn with my electric mower and electric trimer and spread some organic fertilizer (Cow Poo, and loam) as my neighbors in my high density townhouse row are starting to give me dirty looks.  By the way anybody got an organic dandilion killer that works, or at least a recipe for salad?

Thank you for clarifying

Dear Ron,

Thank you for clarifying your position from your original post.  I'm sorry if I branded as advocating strategic voting.  There are some merits to a coalition but it would take a lot of internal party support and concensus (both within the Greens and another party we would join).

I think I have laid out the four options for the Green Party pretty clearly in this blog.

Sincerely,

Matthew Piggott
Kitchener Centre EDA

"People of good faith, figuring out where we are, not falling victim, making choices, based on our values, with the best available information." These views are my own and do not represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Strategically Québec is the

Strategically Québec is the weak point. No party is strong there except the Bloc and that’s by default. Ignatieff has been painted as a ‘Toronto elitist academic’ and its stuck. Harper has fallen out (too many ‘faux pas’ to list here). While Québec shares concern for social programs with the NDP, the NDP are viewed as strong federalists and against provincial rights. Québec actually is fairly pro-green, at least they promote and believe themselves to be. Reality may be a different matter.

A dream coalition: GPC, NDP, and possibly, portions of the Québec-wing of the Liberal party (they dislike Ignatieff for same reasons above.)

A leader who speaks fluent French and can actually communicate effectively with the population. Not the excruciatingly painful, stilted, repetitive speeches of all the current (non-Bloc) leaders.

Like it or not, historically until maybe now, no party has governed effectively without Québec.

Respectfully, D. Scott Barclay

I have asked several people I

I have asked several people I know if they ever thought about voting green, to my surprise several have but sain only if their first choice changed, so I asked why was green not your first choice?  Here are a few answers;

- The greens are a single issue party

-  They have not elected anyone

-  Their candidate is weird?

-  They are radicals

-  Protest vote

-  I have no confidence they could govern (number 1)

 

How do we change these perceptions?

GPC Support...

Let's start with this:  http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_july_8.pdf

Go straight to page 5.  It shows a first choice / second choice table.  It shows 11% of CPC and 15% of LPC hold GPC as a second choice.  So clearly, if we were to mainstream some of our policy, elected MPs, and reduced the radical content of our party candidates, there is immediate potential at grabbing at least an additional 5%.  (11.3% * 32.1% + 15.8% * 25.8%)  We probably would grab more, but of course it comes with unlikely qualifications.

(a) We are not a single issue party.  But sadly, if we conducted a poll, I suspect many of our supporters indeed would be unaware of our other policy.  I am strongly against some of the more radical policy items that I refer to as the three "N's":  no NATO, no NORAD, no NAFTA.  Last I checked NATO and NORAD have not been responsible for anything that many GPC voters would stand up against.  NAFTA, and similar style FTA's are bad for the middle class, and I would support changing them, but pulling out of NAFTA unilaterally would destroy large portions of our economy.  You can argue whether or not that would be beneficial to Canada longterm, but it certainly prevents us from getting elected.  These grand ideas instil fear and loathing I surmise.

(b) We have not elected anyone for many reasons.  Largely, though it's the totality of the reasons you outline.  As people become more familiar with our policy, they get turned off because some of it is centralist, but some of it is far far left wing.  We can have an academic discussion about big changes to our economic system, but no one wants to just give it a whirl with real lives.  No one in this party that really matters seems to understand that you cannot propose large-scale academic ideas without explaining how you get there without huge disruption or ability to undo any damage you may cause if it doesn't pan out as expected.

(c) We get a lot of weird candidates because there is no one in control of the party.  I understand that we stand for decentralization, but let's look at Alvin Greene in S.C. in the US.  The general public is so disconnected from the political system that it appears a stooge got nominated candidate.  For the GPC it's different, we aren't being targeted by rival parties, but we're subject to plenty of random individuals.  I mean people who you'd look at and say, wow, you're so random.  That is not a good thing.  The way we get around this is to make sure that individual EDAs get proper support from national -- which really is NOT happening.  Does each EDA have access to election management software?  Has national put together a simple, "run a candidate" programme sheet for each EDA?  Do we have sophisticated member tracking software?  How far has national gotten producing a list of people to target for donations using statistical methods?  Oh nowhere?  None of those things have been done?  At least they're good at providing ideas and getting us in the press?  Oh, no?  Not that either?

(d) Just read the blogs.  We have many people with radical ideas common to many left wing parties even though we refuse to acknowledge the party is left of centre, and therefore remain blind to them.  We have people here who think that unproven ideas (or ideas proven false) should be proffered as guaranteed-to-work solutions to solve all our problems.  We have people who back up evidence from the flimsiest of sources or sources that are decades obsolete, or who are Glenn Beck equivalents.   There are people here who patronizingly think that we have no moral authority to question what happens in non-Western nations.  Sometimes it scares me, because I know the views are wideheld.

Show me how our current lot could govern.  We couldn't.  I barely think that Harper can govern, Ignatieff is also questionable..  Layton?  He'd destroy our country faster than you could say "Rae Days".  The GPC?  God have mercy on me.  The GPC can certainly do plenty of good with a few MPs, maybe even reaching NDP levels, but could you imagine if we formed a government?  We have many candidates with no experience, and there is limited coherence between any two candidates.  Compare a suburban candidate with a urban or ruran candidate.  Explain to me how we can run candidates in the suburbs at all seeing as how our policy considers suburbs anethema to our environmental policy.  It's incoherent.  Where is national on this providing some coherence?  Why don't they try to mainstream our party?

I don't get it.  Looking at the latest EKOS poll referenced above, you can see we are drifting back down to the international average of 10% for green parties, where we will sit for all eternity unless we acknowledge we need to mainstream our policy, raise our level of professionalism, and learn how to market ourselves.

(Sorry, the tone of this message is probably rough, but I get riled up everytime I write about this.)

Re: GPC Support...

Bram, I agree with some of your points, but on policy if we did everything you suggest we'd be indistinguishable from the Liberals, and we'd be far far removed from many core Green values. Also, calling a policy "radical" or "left" doesn't really address the substance of the policy. More often than not, these radical left policies are good for most Canadians (and the world, if we are talking foreign policy). The status quo on many of these issues, which you get by voting Liberal and Conservative, is just not an option.

Coherence

Look, I'm not saying we dump everything and turn into Liberals.  Ignatieff is so wishy washy, and he sort of epitomizes the Liberals.

But we are all over the place, and national provides no direction and offers little help in sophisticated electioneering that could get us an MP.  Change "radical" to "niche".  And by the way, why are we the only party that apparently refuses to use polling as a tool?

Re: Coherence

Niche sounds better than radical, yes. :)

Agreed re: Iggy. The Liberals are now essentially a progressive conservative party (as they were under Chretien / Martin), except that's a slur on the old PCs.

On a substantive level, I'm not sure I agree that we are "all over the place". I'm not 100% on top of all our policies, but from what I've read of Vision Green, etc., the overall policy framework seems pretty coherent and solid. It's a good vision.

The thing that concerns me is that the reality out there has shifted so much over the last couple of years. From my perspective, capitalism is in crisis-mode and my understanding is that a root cause of that, or maybe it's a consequence, is income / wealth inequality. I'm not very eloquent, so I'll just cite an article to show what I'm getting at: Unjust Spoils by Robert Reich. We need to be the party whose solutions can fix this. Moving us to the right, by axing "left" / "niche" policies, will just move us away from where we need to be.

 

 

Re: Re: Coherence

When I say the party is all over the place, I refer to discussions about legalization of cannabis, abortion rights, military conversion, wealth transfers, population density, etc.  Throw out a question as to whether carbon caps should be used to enforce international wealth transfer from rich nations to poor nations and you'll get responses covering all the colours of the rainbow -- just from our portfolio critics!

Also, when you say the reality has shifted, it is true, the middle-class is shrinking.  But in many cases it is because Conservatives reduce taxes on the wealthy, and the Liberals increase taxes on the middle-class.  But the solution is not necessarily to whack the wealthy with huge taxes, because they will simply leave.  We need a constructive plan to increase the middle class again.  Wealth transfers rarely achieve this, so the solution is going to be more complex than that.

Here's what you do

I have heard those same stereotypes so here's what we did:

1. Find a candidate that has a good image in the community and is well connected

2. Be present at community events, festivals, bbqs, etc...

3. Where possible host your own events and invite the media

4. Start doing community organizing. Meet as many people as possible and connect.

It's not always that simple but it can be done and some ridings are starting to do it.

Sincerely,

Matthew Piggott

Kitchener Centre

"People of good faith, figuring out where we are, not falling victim, making choices, based on our values, with the best available information." These views are my own and do not represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Letters to the editor

I have found in Simcoe Grey that getting the candidate to write letters to the editor / Press releases, on a host of issues especially those that are not "environment" related is connecting us to the community very well in the time between elections.  The reason I have chosen to push other platform topics and issues in not a lack of interest in the environment, but in fact to actively attack the single issue problem.  As one constituent said to me once; 

"No duh you would be good for the enviroment, but what else can you do?"

I have found that sending these letters to the editor / Press releases out to all the small publications, newsletters, radio, and TV operations within our riding, roughly 30 of them, gets us a fair amount of press, as many of them will publish us, at least upwards of a third, and often a different third each time, as they tend to publish based on space and available content in the publication and not so much about our ideas.

Pre election or post election

It seems that there are only two times that you can talk about political cooperation.  Before the election, you can make arrangements to not run candidates, etc. and support other people.  After the election, you can pool your House of Commons votes to work together.

My observation has been that pre election agreements are met with suspicion and distrust by voters, since these arrangements conspire to reduce the choices available to particular voters.  Unless there was a massive groundswell of public support for such a thing, I think it would have a massive pushback from voters.

After the election, we see the same kinds of discussions and meetings that we see now in the House of Commons .. party leaders ascertain who they can work with and who they cannot.  Some of these deals work and others don't .. some are popular and others are not.  The key is that to get in the game, you have to have some seats.

So, to me, it seems the game plan remains the same .. increase support (membership, volunteers, fundraising and ultimately, votes) until we elect some MPs.  I don't think there is a shortcut for this hard work.

Jim Johnston, Lambton-Kent-Middlesex Opinions expressed are my own.

Merger, coalition, or cooperation

This blog post commenting on a poll should help with this discussion: Merger, Coalition or Cooperation – Canadians tell party leaders (HarrisDecima poll)

Excerpt:

A further similarity between the LPC and NDP supporters is that most of those who fall into the Do Something camp want some form of cooperation (or working partnership, to use Bob Rae's description of what he achieved when he became premier of Ontario) rather than a pre-election merger or a post-election coalition. Almost twice as many supporters of the LPC and NDP prefer the cooperation route than would like to see a merger or would like to see a coalition).

No change means just that

Of course, voters want it both ways: ‘Do something!’ but ‘Don’t dare change anything.’ Problem is, if we don’t change something before the election, nothing will change after it. There will be a Harper majority (or stronger minority that still refuses to work with other parties but instead plays brinkmanship).

The Liberals and NDP will behave exactly as they do now. The Liberals will simply bide their time, thinking that eventually the CPC will mess up badly enough that the public will vote-in the other status-quo party, them. And the NDP will be a voice crying in the wilderness for social justice, forever branded as incompetent ‘socialists’. While the Bloc sits on the balance of power.

I suspect before the PC and Alliance parties merged, Canadians if polled might have also been change-adverse. But the reality is, once the merger went through, it was academic. Voters had fewer parties and had to vote on the choices that were available. And the right-wing vote was no longer split. They can’t vote for parties that don’t exist anymore.

Respectfully, D. Scott Barclay

Are you advocating a

Are you advocating a Merger?

According to the Harris poll referenced earlier the Greens support the prospect of a merger most!  Does that mean that we would merge with them? or that if they merge that would move us into the natural number 3 spot and take the NDP's voice of concience spot?

 

Going forward

First let me say that I respect and appreciate all those that have put there two cents in here.  When I post my aim is to both advocate for ideas and to provoke other new ideas and debate on them.  I feel this party needs to do a very real evaluation of itself, what our goals are? how we intend to achieve them? What has worked, what hasn't, and what has only been marginally successful? and how we fit on the Canadian political landscape?

  • Certainly we are the only growing party...That's good!
  • We have not been able to get even one MP, MPP or MLA elected...That's bad
  • We continue to struggle to get quality well rounded candidates, that are leaders in their communities...That's Bad
  • The Conservatives have been governing very badly, while the Liberals are in complete collapse, yet we gain only a little...That's 50/50
  • We have been unsuccessful in messaging our full platform...That's bad
  • We have a great group of committed core supporters...That's very good
  • We have a very difficult time raising money...That's not good
  • Our Media exposure is declining...That's not good

The convention is coming in Toronto next month and I think frankly it could be the most important one this party has ever had in Canada, and no matter what we need to come out of it stronger, and with a plan to move us to the next level or I can guarantee you that old saying will come true. 

 "You don't plan to fail, you fail to plan, either way the result is the same"

 

There are a number of

To try to answer your question Ron, there are a number of permutations and types of agreements. I wish I knew which would be ideal. I believe that the GPC is in the best neutral position (not seen as left or right) to lobby and broker some form of cooperation between the other parties.

(My dream party would be the GPC, NDP and a portion of the Quebec wing of the Liberal party, with a fluently bilingual leader. But that would take a miracle.) Open to all and any suggestions...

My objective is to keep the concept of a merger/coalition/working agreement, alive and try to break the detrimental stalemate Canada is caught in.

Respectfully, D. Scott Barclay

Latest Angus Reid Poll Not good

I know Angus is not our friend but the latest results don't look good regardless.

http://www.visioncritical.com/2010/07/harper-not-most-popular-politician-but-canadians-want-him-as-pm/

Online survey of a representative national sample of 2,031 Canadian adults,

36% Conservative Party 

27% Liberal

20% New Democratic Party (NDP)

10% Bloc Québécois

7% Green Party 

Yes but...

The previous 8! national polls had the Greens polling above 10%(range was 10-13%).

I think that's the first time that's ever happened!(Someone correct me if I'm wrong).

I never trust a single poll, instead I look at a rolling average of 5, or some other common measurement tool(feel free to suggest one).

Sincerely,

Matthew Piggott
Kitchener Centre

"People of good faith, figuring out where we are, not falling victim, making choices, based on our values, with the best available information." These views are my own and do not represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Environics Poll

CBC reports Environics poll as Cons 35, Libs 32, NDP 15, Greens 6.

That's the highest the liberals have polled in months!

Very interesting.

"People of good faith, figuring out where we are, not falling victim, making choices, based on our values, with the best available information." These views are my own and do not represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

True polls are not all that

True polls are not all that accurate no matter what they say.  Sometimes its about the question but if you compare the H/D poll and the Ekos poll where we got 13% they both asked the same question "if the election were held tomorrow which party would you vote for"? and they got completely different results.  The next question to wonder is what other questions were asked and in what order as the lead up may very well influence the outcome, but in may polls this data is not released or not fully released, so it's hard to say exactly, but I will come back to one of my previous points.  We don't do enough of our own polling, or any as far as I know to determine what parts of our platform resonate (Keep and expand) and what doesn't, and why(explain better or jettison)  

I have never seen one poll that we conducted and yet I'm going to the BGM, and I have no idea about what I should think relative to the non existent information, when I'm presented with ideas to consider?

Why are you basing your policy opinion on polls?

Political parties are supposed to provide a vision and inspire the country to a new or different way of structuring how we live(i.e. "change the playing field").  If you base all your policies on what is "popular" then in the end you don't stand for anything and voters get turned off.

That's why the Liberal party fell apart. They ended up developing all their policy by doing focus groups and didn't have a coherent vision. (Remember the waffle on the Iraq war? The Liberals were only against it once a poll came out showing 60% of Canadians were against the idea). In the end they didn't stand for anything anymore.

Sincerely,

Matthew Piggott
Kitchener Centre

"People of good faith, figuring out where we are, not falling victim, making choices, based on our values, with the best available information." These views are my own and do not represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Its a dialogue

There's a balance. Certainly we need parties with 'convictions' that are not just chasing popular whims of the day.  But a party also needs to gauge how its ideas are being accepted and where there is common ground to work from. And where there is non-acceptance and why. We need to listen as well.

Respectfully, D. Scott Barclay

Exactly

I wish I had said it so well myself?

That's fair

I hope we keep that balance.

Sincerely,

Matthew Piggott
Kitchener Centre

"People of good faith, figuring out where we are, not falling victim, making choices, based on our values, with the best available information." These views are my own and do not represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Information is good

Yes balance is important, and I never intended to suggest blowing with the wind but we do have to pay attention to what's important to Canadians and make sure they know how we would deal with their issues often that would simply be improving our messaging on existing policy that fits their needs , and relaxing on issues that the electorate is already confident in us on.  Sometimes however we may find some of our policies are violently opposed by the masses and those we need to have an intelligent debate on, even if they are perceived core values, we may not change them or get rid of them because they are core values, but we need to know what we are up against perhaps we can mittigate them in some way(more education perhaps). We cannot operate in a vacuum though and I think that's what we are doing, anecdodal evidence and third hand stories(even mine) are not good enough we need hard data and we need it now! even an on-line poll on our National and Provincial websites would be a start, I am fairly sure the vast majority of people that go to these sites are not active in the party and may not even be members but we need to know what they think!  A paid for professional poll would be even better but I don't see us having the bucks for that right now.

Someone please answer the following questions;

  1. Have we done any surveys?
  2. Are any planned?
  3. Are we thinking about doing any?
  4. If we have done them, where are they?
  5. If we aren't doing any and are not planning to why not?

Community Party

Attracting residents to Green Party involves in part attracting voters to community campaign.   Green Party viewed as "Community Party" which progresses a socially responsible agenda and advances causes of eco-friendly prosperity.

Pleased that we at Green Party are addressing larger federal role particularly we need to attract bright minds.  Green Party members have much to contribute to federal discourse on topics as diverse as justice crime race relations migration and military.

Most candidates of all parties have no federal exposure prior to obtaining seat in House of Commons. 

London-Fanshawe NDP stronghold may be up for grabs.