Democracy Delayed: Ontario's Referendum
I could cry and moan about how unfair the referendum was, about how the government stacked the deck against reform, about how Elections Ontario managed to at once quash the discussion around the issue and fail to educate the public, about how various writers, commentators, and so-called intellectuals confused (or in some cases out and out lied to) the public over the past few weeks, but I'd rather not. It's pointless, it's unproductive, and moreover it's exactly what the status quo regressives are waiting for --I can hear the words "sour grapes" and "sore losers" on their tongues already.
Here are the facts:
1. The Citizens' Assembly's recomendation of MMP failed at the ballot box.
2. The need for electoral reform, by some means, is greater than ever.
As encouraging and hopeful as I was in front of my volunteers, I was never sure whether MMP would fly at the ballot box. But I was sure of what we could expect from the election results: the greatest number of wasted votes ever cast, the lowest voter turnout in the province's history, and (as election day drew closer) a more distorted majority government than the one we just had. Like everyone else I will have to wait until the official and final results are available from Elections Ontario, but thus far all three predictions look like they will come true.
The question is, where do we who know the value of a vote, who wish to continue striving for a more democratic society, go from here? Of course, the pub! But after that, I'm afraid there is more work to do.
First, we can expect the government to claim that there is now a strong message from the people that they wish to keep first-past-the-post, simply because they did not want mixed member proportional. This was no doubt why the government decided to word the referendum ballot this way as opposed to a simple "Do you want to adopt mixed member proportional? Yes/No." So we can expect to have to demonstrate that the public was uninformed when they made their decision and simply decided to stick with the devil they knew. This won't be difficult to prove, but we should prepare to prove it as we will no doubt have to argue along these lines when advocating for continued progress toward electoral reform.
Second, we need to continue campaigning. Not for MMP, but against first-past-the-post (and simultaneously for reform). Not a political campaign, but an educational campaign. It's quite clear that Elections Ontario was either unwilling or unable to answer the questions that the public had before referendum day, and we can expect the same when another referendum is held in the future. So we'll have to answer those questions for the public ourselves and we'll have to start now if we want a broad understanding of "first-past-the-post does not work" among the Ontario public before the next referendum.
Here's the good news: we can do both at the same time!
First, everyone who was involved in the "Vote for MMP" campaign should join (or start) their local chapter of Fair Vote Canada (if they haven't already). And then (I'm going to pitch this to the Fair Vote people and see what they think) we should all start organizing local presentations (or information/discussion nights) on the failings of first-past-the-post and the need for electoral reform. But every presentation should contain a small and unofficial referendum post mortem where you can ask the questions: "Did you feel informed before you made your decision? Did you feel Elections Ontario and their material was useful in helping you make your decision? Are you in favour of electoral reform even if you weren't in favour of MMP?" And so on. But have ready petitions and drafted letters for folks to sign.
Here in Guelph, I plan on contacting our local Citizens' Assembly representative and Referendum Resource Officer to see if they have any useful thoughts that they could document and share on the process. This might be something that other groups want to pursue as well. I also plan to develop various PowerPoint presentations (and other media) for different audiences (students, seniors, etc.) and make them available to anyone who wants them. After all the presentations I gave during the election, this shouldn't really take all that much time either.
There, now doesn't that feel better than complaining? After all, everyone knows what's better than getting mad.
Democracy now!
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Comments
wastedvotes.ca
I was thinking for each provincial and federal election there could be a blog post on a site called wastedvotes.ca (proposed name) showing:
- The difference between the % of votes and % of seats of the "winning party"
- The corresponding "unnacounted seats"
- The % of votes that did not vote for the current government
- The % of votes that did not support the current government
- The % of excess votes (votes not needed to win the riding)
... The question is though, do people already know about the lack of democracy in FPTP and was it just the concept of "list seats" that scared the voters?
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http://www.julienlamarche.ca - julien.lamarche@gmail.com
The 4 electoral systems: http://preview.tinyurl.com/5hzoxl
Did you even listen to the advertising opposing MMP?
Lambton Kent Middlesex EDA (SW Ontario)
The opponent ads tell us very clearly that the opponents had gone through the proposed plan to find issues likely to attract negative attention, whether directly related to MMP or not.
First, do we really need this large increase in number of politicians? If we do, why did we not propose the same increase under FPTP to keep the options comparable.
Did we need to have this increase in seats linked to MMP?
Secondly, while you may have complete trust in political parties, a large part of the voters do not. If they mistrust the process of choosing local candidates and might be ready to ask for greater transparency, opening up the process to public scrutiny as it is going on, these voters who do not really trust political parties to choose good local candidates, who would insist on after the fact right to choose candidates as well as parties, are being asked to trust those same parties to effectively appoint members of the house with no guarantee of transparency of the process. The parties will 'tell us' how they selected those list candidates. Like we would trust that mealy mouth bunch of spin-doctors!
We all know that the anticipated problems do not appear to happen when MMP is the law. Perhaps they have more trustworthy parties, or perhaps they have a lot more public involvement in the parties. To our voters the political parties do look like a clique of back-room boys serving their own interests, getting away with it because the other parties are the same.
Pro-MMP ads did a nice job of portraying the idea that MMP is much fairer to the parties, even that people who vote for them get fairer representation. But MMP ads did not at all deal with the main topics of the anti-mmp ads. Well how could we counter the main complaint, that we do not need this extra bunch of MPPs proposed under MMP. That was our own poison pill designed to lose the referendum. And how could we make the claim that the parties would have a fully transparent selection process that did not depend on an internal FPTP process. We had no such commitment in the proposal.
We also could not tell the people that there would be a second vote 8 years later on whether to continue with MMP. We were asking for a permanent constitutional change and not a trial period.
Did anyone think to take this proposition out to the public, the broad general public and not just the citizens' assembly who had spent time studying the options presented to them? It seems to me that we were asking far too much confidence in political parties, (confidence we may have been part of eroding). In all honesty I have to say I am not confident that GPO would carry this task off adequately, because we have never so much as discussed how we would do it if we had a chance.
Just too many unknowns for a permanent change.
Too few politicians
You are correct that the anti-MMP forces were very clever.
"First, do we really need this large increase in number of politicians?"
Yes, actually. Ontario has the worst ratio of politicians to citizens of any province in Canada. We have half as many as the next jurisdiction. Having less politicians doesn't save any money - all it does is put more decisions in the hands of politically appointed staffers.
The effect of having too few politicians is that we have less contact with our elected reps, meaning they are less responsive, leading to less respect for them. Ironically, we then think the cure for this is to have even fewer politicians, when the real cure is to have more - the ideal ratio is apparently close to 1 per 50,000 (unlike our 1 per 100,000+).
"If we do, why did we not propose the same increase under FPTP to keep the options comparable?"
Because that was outside the mandate of the Citizen's Assembly. They were only allowed to propose one change, and they picked MMP. Whatever they proposed had to be set against the existing system.
"Did we need to have this increase in seats linked to MMP?"
Well, to have the proportional aspect, we either had to add more seats or change more of the existing seats to PR rather than riding. The CA did a little of both - added 22 new seats and converted 17 from riding to list. The alternatives would have been an even more drastic reduction in the number of ridings (losing 32), or keeping all current ridings and adding 46 list seats on top.
The CA chose a legislature of 129 seats because it would still be 1 fewer than the 130 we had before Harris' misguided "Fewer Politicians Act".
"We were asking for a permanent constitutional change"
So far as I know, MMP would not require a constitutional change. FPTP is not specified in the constitution, although it is somewhat implied by the riding structure.
This referendum was structurally doomed - intentionally, I dare say. The No campaign learned from BC that open opposition was too easy to refute with facts - so they instead relied on back-channel opposition, such as unattributed viral email campaigns through business associations where their lies could be passed along unchallenged. Ontarians were not yet fed up enough to take a chance on something they didn't fully understand, even though it's quite apparent that they don't fully understand FPTP, either.
For a referendum to pass, it will have to be held outside the regular election cycle so the merits can be publicized and debated on their own - including televised debates and other election-style activity.
Erich Jacoby-Hawkins
Barrie, ON
The views I express on this blog are purely my own and should not be construed to represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada - the same goes for all other people's posts & comments.
Erich Jacoby-Hawkins, Barrie ON - although I'm on Cabinet (Nat'l Rev. and Ecol. Fiscal Reform), views here are my own and may not reflect official GPC positions. Please visit www.ErichtheGreen.ca
Referendum Ads
Was I missing something or was the election official in charge of awareness of the Referendum being sly (or was the ad agency being sly while the official was {ironically} not making an informed decision about the ads).
From what I saw, all of the TV ads to raise awareness for it depicted bad things happening after a change was made (dogs running amuck in a lady’s house full of crystal figurines, etc). Had anyone just said NO rather than ignore the fellow asking the question, all the mayhem could have been avoided.
Got it voter. Either do some homework and make an informed decision or just tick NO.
Mike Sherrard, P. Eng.