Are We Willfully Ignoring the Food Crisis?

Over the past few months and weeks, the world has been accelerating towards a disaster of massive proportions. The food crisis threatens the very lives of more than 100 million human beings. Right now, an estimated 24,000 human beings are starving every 24 hours. One dead every 3.6 seconds. Today.

Anyone who has been paying attention knows that this is the beginning of a catastrophe that will make the tsunami look like a Sunday school picnic. But who’s paying attention? The issue is just starting to make the occasional blip on the big network TV news. The issue of rising prices in North American supermarkets is generating some interest. The fact that Haitians are surviving on mud pies made from dirt, salt and cooking oil is something that we are having a hard time looking at.

That we can’t bear to know about this grand scale suffering is understandable. We who waste so much food, eat so much meat, invest in commodities funds, purchase offshore produce, indulge in fast food and junk food to the point of an obesity epidemic cannot afford to pay too much attention. We know we are part of the problem but we aren’t thanking anyone for reminding us.

As environmentalists, it’s easy to point fingers at SUV-drivers and other conspicuous consumers who are exacerbating the GHG problem. Many of us have made major lifestyle adjustments to do what we can for the planet.

Now, we must make lifestyle adjustments for the sake of the planet’s food supply. We’ve had decades to convince the masses of the facts about AGW and we’re still seeing resistance. The food crisis is coming at us at a much faster rate. The civil disruption and chaos it will bring mean that we won’t need to convince anyone of its reality. We will, however, need to assume responsibility for many of the factors involved.

Pervasive hunger on a global scale is on its way. We are too late to stop it completely. Food riots have already occurred in Haiti, Indonesia, Ivory Coast, Mauritania, Mozambique, Senegal, Uzbekistan, Yemen, Bolivia, Philippines, Egypt, Cameroon and others. Civil disorder fueled by hunger has already brought down one prime minister.

Afghanistan, where Canada is spending so many billions, is one of the biggest sources of desperation. Nearly 50% of Afghans rely on aid to survive. Organizations like the UN World Food Program and NGO’s like World Vision are struggling and failing to meet increased demand.

The causes of the food crisis are manifold. Chief among them are:

1.High energy costs for all phases of food industry;
2.Rampant speculation on world commodities markets;
3.Government subsidies and support for biofuels;
4.A rising Asian middle class demanding more meat in their diet;
5.Rapid population increase that has outpaced industrial agricultural production;
6.Severe weather conditions reducing crop yields;
7.Monoculture has taken the place of balanced food farming in many threatened countries.

While there are some signs that the crisis may be mitigated by some bumper crops and financial contributions from wealthy nations (and individuals), the main causes continue to exist and a full blown catastrophe seems inevitable.

Is it hopeless? Do we throw up our hands and say we have no control? Can we do anything as individuals? Can we work together as a party to alleviate some of the suffering?

It is not hopeless but if we want to solve any problem, we need to recognize it exists. So far, the food crisis, though real and happening right now, has been largely off of our radar. We need to start paying attention. Now.

As individuals, we can blog, write letters to editors, letters to MP’s, participate in online discussions. Of course, we can also take more personal actions like eating less meat, walking more often, micro-managing our RSP’s to eliminate personal involvement in commodities speculation and giving money to NGO’s like Oxfam and World Vision.

As a party, we can get out in front of this issue. As I noted in a previous blog post, the GPC policy on biofuels is lagging behind the knowledge that biofuels are a big factor in the food crisis. The biofuel bandwagon is headed for hell and we should be jumping off.

We need to help the public put things into perspective. We need to engender public support for humanitarian relief. The UN World Food Program is currently pleading for an additional $750 million to ensure that it can feed 89 million hungry people. That’s about one-half of the money Canada is going to spend on a submarine maintenance contract. It’s about the same amount Canada will spend in the next eight months of Taliban-fighting in Afghanistan. It’s about the same amount the US spends on the Iraq war every single day. It's about 2% of Exxon's annual profit.

We simply cannot afford to look the other way while millions face starvation. We need to address this issue quickly. As painful as it is, we need to admit that we are part of the problem. We need to step up and be part of the solution, too.

Comments

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My two cents

http://www.greenparty.ca/en/node/4460

Also, I don't want to diminish the work of any NGO, but I would sooner join Canadian Organic Growers and Food Secure Canada than Oxfam and World Vision Canada.

Changing how we eat and where we get our food will have more impact on "poor" countries than trying to "lift" them out of poverty.

----
Julien Lamarche, Ottawa-Vanier Greens
Jabber / GoogleTalk IM: jlam@jabber.org

Some points mis-placed.

I agree with you that there is a wide scale crisis and we have to act, but I find 2 of the stated causes mis-placed.

1. I don't think on the whole speculators are causing much of a problem. The prices represent real demand.

2. Blaming Asian demand for meat as the cause is being blind to the other even higher half of the demand in our world that is not being abated.

Thanks for the comments...

As far as which NGO's to support, I mentioned the ones I did because we're facing an immediate crisis that require food delivery or millions will starve. This is short term relief, not a step towards a long term solution. A long term solution incorporating fundamentals of sustainability is needed... in the long term. Food is needed now.

In my list of factors, I was not attempting to sort them as to importance. I think my numbered list may have given that impression. My mistake.

Regarding the role of speculation, I stand by my position that it is one of the major causes. Here's are a few pertinent links:
Financial speculators reap profits from global hunger
Deadly Greed: The Role of Speculators in the Global Food Crisis
Speculators Worsening World Food Crisis?

Worldwide capital floating at play in the global food commodities markets has increased by something like 20-fold over the past few years. As the glow came of money markets and mortgages, speculators saw food as a prime "investment". Many, many financial gurus are still touting food advising speculators continue to reap windfall profits. And amoral speculators are doing just that.

Blaming increased Asian middle class demand for meat is simply stating a reality. Of course, we in the west consume far more meat per capita than those in emerging economies. The numbers of newly middle class Chinese and Indians is huge and does play into the high food price situation. By acknowledging that this is part of the reason for high prices, I am in no way saying these people need to curtail their appetite for meat. I think the carnivore west needs to start eating more vegetarian meals.

Jim Elve
Communications Chair
Haldimand-Norfolk
The views expressed here are mine alone and are not the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Jim Elve
The opinions expressed here are purely my own and do not represent official Green Party of Canada policy or positions.

Giving food agencies wads of money is counter productive.

If food agencies start spending wads of money to purchase grains they are going to drive the price of grains further up. Even more people will not be able to afford the food and they will have to buy more forcing more pressure up on the market and the food inflation cycle will keep growing. If it is rampant speculation as you suggest, this just feeds into the speculators' game.

If you are correct about the speculation, then you are saying that the markets adequately supplied and that speculators are the cause. What would be a more productive strategy of the food agencies is to short the markets like crazy driving the grain commodities down. Don't need money to do this (You might need a margin account). And if you are correct, the food agencies will win and profit, and the speculators will lose their shirts.

Monsanto and the global food crisis

Is there any chance that the grain crisis is a trap set by Monsanto, waiting in the background to offer a desparate world a solution that they cannot turn down, but which will help their bid for a global food monopoly?

Does Monsanto currently have the level of influence needed to create this kind of global food crisis, and do they have something they could sell as a "solution"?

Fingering "the usual suspects" may not necessarily lead to the right culprits, but these are nonetheless questions worth considering.

Just like the nuclear industry...

Monsanto and the GM food lobby are certainly using the food crisis to their advantage. How great their role was in getting us to this point is something for the historians to decide, I suspect. The climate crisis has been a real shot in the arm for the faltering nuke industry. The food crisis is doing the same for GM.

Jim Elve
Communications Chair
Haldimand-Norfolk
The views expressed here are mine alone and are not the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Jim Elve
The opinions expressed here are purely my own and do not represent official Green Party of Canada policy or positions.

We should be leading the policy discussion on biofuels

The green party must take a stand against biofuels.

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5g6hbT75_thXF6CI...

Absolutely.

Thanks for the link, Graham. I agree. I posted something on the GPC Vision Green support for biofuels a couple weeks ago.
Time to Speak Up on Biofuels.

I see from my mail that we are invited to submit resolutions for consideration at the September convention in NS. Draft resolutions must be submitted by May 31. See http://gm2008.greenparty.ca/en/resolutions.html.

This would appear to be the route to go. Ideally, though, I'd like to see us come out with a revised statement on biofuels long before September. The issue is percolating and ready to boil over. We may have to address it sooner. Already, I'm seeing reader comments on sites like the Globe&Mail saying the food crisis is all the fault of the treehuggers.

Jim Elve
Communications Chair
Haldimand-Norfolk
The views expressed here are mine alone and are not the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Jim Elve
The opinions expressed here are purely my own and do not represent official Green Party of Canada policy or positions.

Biofuels Resolution

I agree entirely- sooner would be better, but there should at least be a resolution for the September convention. I'd be willing to be a signatory for such a resolution or could help write it- though it seems you are very well read on the topic.

Biofuels Draft Resolution

I'm going to try writing a draft resolution and I'll post it here as a blog item for discussion. Disavowing support for ALL biofuels will likely get some stiff resistance. Erich Jacoby-Hawkins has another take on the issue.
See http://www.greenparty.ca/en/node/4476
I'm not entirely opposed to cellulosic ethanol. I'm not sure we've adequately considered the unintended consequences but at least it's not directly pitting food production versus fuel production.

Jim Elve
Communications Chair
Haldimand-Norfolk
The views expressed here are mine alone and are not the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Jim Elve
The opinions expressed here are purely my own and do not represent official Green Party of Canada policy or positions.

Biofuel issue a definition problem

My other post was more about food prices than biofuel technology, but the latter is certainly something we must address and I'll do so on this blog.

The biggest problem now with our policy and discussions on biofuels is that the term itself applies to a range of technologies, feed stocks, and applications that are all across the map as far as impacts and sustainability.

Therefore, to say either that we support or oppose biofuels is too simplistic.

For example, there is no reason in the world to support corn ethanol production, much less mandate content. We should make this very clear in policy.

At the other extreme, using waste vegetable oil from restaurants as biodiesel to power bus transit is about the wisest energy-from-waste application around. Most major cities could collect enough such waste fat within their own borders to fully power their bus fleet - not only saving fossil fuels & CO2 but also reducing smog emissions. WVO hybrid train engines pulling light rail could 'top up' as they arrive at each small community, with a central veg. oil collection/dropoff point located next to the station. Since restaurants currently have to pay to get rid of the stuff, they'd be happy to have a free disposal method.

We need policy to support such measures, while not ever implying that we should switch our entire current auto fleet to corn ethanol or biodiesel produced from virgin soya or canola. Sustainable liquid biofuel could support perhaps 5-10% of our current gasoline/diesel usage - but if we were diligent in switching to transit, reducing car size & weight, increasing engine efficiency, and re-tooling our communities to be walkable, cyclable, and transitable, then that would represent our total liquid fuel need. Which is to say, biofuels could sustainably supply all our needs if we reduced our total needs by a factor of 10 or more - which I believe can be done (in fact, it must under any scenario).

5 years ago, as a 'green' but not a 'Green', we bought a VW diesel bug because it was both affordable and very fuel efficient. Since then I have been able to supply it with biodiesel at times, from 5% up to 100%. My favourite supplier is Georgian Biofuels in nearby Owen Sound, who makes biodiesel (for cars or home heating) out of unused but expired vegetable oil. They are taking something that is otherwise hard to get rid of (you can't sell it for human consumption but you can't landfill it, so you have to pay to turn it into feed pellets and then sell it at cost) and using it to replace fossil fuel. No farmland was taken out of service or food diverted to make this biodiesel - it is guilt-free and virtually footprint-free. There are similar processors working to convert the vast surplus of rendered animal fat into biodiesel. (This fat used to be converted to feed, but new post-BSE policy bans feeding it back to livestock, so it accumulates, rancid, in huge storage tanks).

We need to craft a new policy that supports use of current sustainable biofuels and spurs research into future applications (e.g. cellulosic, algae) without unintentionally boosting zero-sum (at best) schemes like corn ethanol or clearing tropical rainforest to grow palm oil. And this policy needs to describe specific policies and actions, not just general supportive language. Blanket support for biofuels is wrong, but so is the "biofuels are evil" mantra that I hear from (for example) GP-PEI leader Sharon Labchuk. Perhaps a policy that mandated a more modest minimum content of 'sustainable' biofuels, instead of accepting anything refiners choose to blend in, would suffice. That could explicitly rule out corn ethanol, high-footprint imported tropical biodiesel, and other such potential hazards. That would leave the push for technologies that don't tip us into a morass of unintended consequences.

We should never forget that more sustainable pre-industrial or pre-fossil-fuel era farming was entirely powered by biofuels - grains fed to horses and oxen to provide power and transportation. This is also true of early public transit - like the horse-drawn carriages and omnibuses that preceeded modern taxis and streetcars. (Their wastes could also be fed back into the fuel or food stream through burning or fertilizing).

Erich Jacoby-Hawkins
Barrie, ON

The views I express on this blog are purely my own and should not be construed to represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada - the same goes for all other people's posts & comments.

Erich Jacoby-Hawkins, Barrie ON - although I'm on Cabinet (Nat'l Rev. and Ecol. Fiscal Reform), views here are my own and may not reflect official GPC positions. Please visit www.ErichtheGreen.ca

Good points

Good points, Erich. Some biodiesel and even some ethanol are sustainable and positive. Unfortunately, the R&D and major investments are not going into those sustainable sectors but into soy and canola for biodiesel and corn for ethanol.

My biggest problem with current GPC policy is that we are not being specific and our Vision Green statement is essentially endorsing the mandated use of corn ethanol. While we give a healthy nod to cellulosic and WVO, we're still calling for 10% biofuel content by 2010 and the only way that can happen is with corn. There is simply not even close to enough production capacity in any other biofuel to meet the 10% target.

Cellulosic ethanol and WVO biodiesel sound very promising for the long tern, if they can get enough investment into R&D and manufacturing capacity. Not much is happening that way, though; especially, when compared to what's happening in the food-for-fuel side of things. ADM and Monsanto don't have much to gain in sustainable biofuels and the only reason we have any mandated ethanol content today is thanks to the lobbying efforts of Big Agra.

In the short term, biofuels are helping drive the price of food beyond the reach of millions of poor people. It's not the biggest factor but it is still a factor and it still contributes to the needless suffering and starvation of millions.

Jim Elve
Communications Chair
Haldimand-Norfolk
The views expressed here are mine alone and are not the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Jim Elve
The opinions expressed here are purely my own and do not represent official Green Party of Canada policy or positions.

There's R&D and there's "R&D"

One thing that is apparent in the biofuel industry is that the major market push is actually for 'mature' technologies, such as corn ethanol or virgin soya biodiesel, rather than new or emerging ones such as algae or cellulosic. This is because most money comes from conventional investors who want something safe and predictable, not untried or risky. Most of the "R&D" going on in the mainstream biofuel industry is in how to refine these existing sub-par processes, how to market them, how to 'farm' subsidies, etc.

We need real R&D into the potentially sustainable technologies. The only way to do this will be through direct government subsidies, or skillfully designed market incentives that take the profit out of conventional biofuels (probably via ecological taxes) and steer more investment into alternatives which can still profit even under true-cost accounting.

Erich Jacoby-Hawkins
Barrie, ON

p.s. There is currently a proposal for a huge corn ethanol plant right in the middle of Barrie. During the recent provincial election, the other parties' candidates all took the "ethanol good, but not here" NIMBY stance, while I was the only one (backed by GPO leader Frank de Jong during his visit) to take the position that corn ethanol should not be produced anywhere. I'm not a booster of corn ethanol, but we'll have a more informed debate and earn more respect if we use the real numbers (including such aspects as feed byproducts) rather than wed ourselves to Pimentel's biased (inaccurate and out-of-date) calculations.

The views I express on this blog are purely my own and should not be construed to represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada - the same goes for all other people's posts & comments.

Erich Jacoby-Hawkins, Barrie ON - although I'm on Cabinet (Nat'l Rev. and Ecol. Fiscal Reform), views here are my own and may not reflect official GPC positions. Please visit www.ErichtheGreen.ca

Alternative Positive Outcomes of High Food Prices

Might high food prices be a blessing?

The increased demand for food might finally over balance the artificially low food prices caused by generous farm subsidies in western nations. High prices should help more countries expand their local food production for domestic consumption, and for global markets.

As noted, at least part of the increase in food prices has been caused by the rising middle classes in countries that have historically had the largest amount of absolute poverty. Isn't this the positive result of reduced poverty? If poverty alleviation continues at its current pace what other demand shock might we experience?

I suggest that our focus should be on encouraging sustainable farming practices by those who might overlook our environment in their rush to expand production to capitalize on these high prices.

Dave Chisholm
-------------------------------------------------------
The views I express on this comment are purely my own and should not be construed to represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

What we can do to reduce demand

I just watched the "Hungry Planet" special on The National (http://tinyurl.com/56z5eo)

If the facts presented in the show are correct and there are only 60 days of global food stores available, then this is clearly not a distribution problem.

Financial, or direct food aid, while useful for the bottom billion will only make things worse for the developing world by increasing demand. Adding demand to demand does not increase supply.

The only way I can see to help is to increase supply or REDUCE demand. High prices are a powerful incentive to increase supply but that takes time. In the short term the only thing we could do to help is reduce demand.

If we really wanted to help the short term in a meaningful way, the only thing I could think of would be to initiate a national one day fast each week for a few months. Within a few weeks that might have a measurable impact. Although, I fear that even with our western consumption levels, our population is so small that we would be spitting into the wind. In the past it was not about eating less but sharing more. Sounds like both are required now.

High prices by themselves will encourage increased demand, we don't need to help with that. I think it is our role to think about tomorrow. The pressure for more industrial farming and more genetically modified high yield crops will be greater now then ever.

How do we answer that?

Answer under our noses (and forks)

The answers are apparent, if we look carefully.

The 60-day food supply does not mean that we'll run out of food two months from now; it is merely a measure of the cushion or buffer between stock and demand. It actually means that if we were to stop all food production in the world today, there would be enough food (if it could be distributed evenly - which it couldn't) to feed us for another couple of months.

Current hunger crises are indeed a problem primarily of distribution, not merely of food but also of income and production. By the latter, I mean that many places that could and should be more food self-sufficient have instead come to rely food imports. Africa apparently is producing less food now than it did just 50 years ago - not due to loss of soil or drought, but because of farmers losing income due to low food prices and leaving their land fallow. (It is also due to disastrous food/farming policies, Zimbabwe's being only the most egregious, many of which have been at the instigation of multinationals or bodies like the IMF). There is actually potential to continue to increase our food supply in coming years, but it will require repairing various structural errors that discourage or prevent the poorest billion from producing their own food. Even under business-as-usual, food production is predicted to continue to increase this year and in the foreseeable future (according to the UN Food and Agriculture Organization).

In the meantime, there is actually a rather large safety margin built into our food system. Of the over 2 billion tonnes of grain grown last year, over one third was fed to animals to produce meat (and dairy). This is a completely unnecessary 'waste' of food. Most of these animals could survive on their natural foods, like grazing & pasture (cattle), food scraps (pigs), insects and seeds (chickens) and so on. Of course, they would grow much more slowly, so we'd have to eat a lot less of them. Which is fine, because we eat far too much meat as it is.

(Biofuels are a secondary cushion, as we use about 5% of our grains to produce them.)

Of course, in both cases (meat or biofuels), the problem remains one of distribution, especially of income. It is quite imaginable for rich individuals or rich nations to continue their gluttony of meat (and ethanol) while poor individuals or nations starve. As in the past, most major human famines are purely a product of policy rather than true objective shortage. The Irish starved in their potato famine while still exporting livestock, and Stalin & Mao starved millions while stuffing the bellies of their friends.

Pressures of population and climate change have not (yet) put us at risk of global starvation; rather, such hunger continues to result from conflict and bad planning and most of all market failures stemming from greed or selfishness. Addressing underlying issues of fair trade would be the most effective long-term way to address these problems.

As to GMOs, they have yet to produce crops that truly have higher yield except under controlled (i.e. impossible to guarantee in reality) conditions. Objective studies show that GMO is generally a loser, either in productivity or profitability - for the farmer, at least. The only ones who truly benefit from GMO crops are those like Monsanto who profit from selling the seeds. We must remain watchful of their deception and not allow them to use this "shortage" as an excuse to perpetuate & spread their non-solution.

As to fasting once a week, it would be more effective to cut our meat/dairy consumption by half all week long.

Erich Jacoby-Hawkins
Barrie, ON

The views I express on this blog are purely my own and should not be construed to represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada - the same goes for all other people's posts & comments.

Erich Jacoby-Hawkins, Barrie ON - although I'm on Cabinet (Nat'l Rev. and Ecol. Fiscal Reform), views here are my own and may not reflect official GPC positions. Please visit www.ErichtheGreen.ca

Re: under our noses

Thank you, Yes I understand that the 8 weeks of food stores represents the slack or buffer in the supply chain. This is down from the usual 18 weeks of stores. This change in supply is causing higher prices. If there was 10 weeks of food rotting in warehouses I would agree that it was a distribution problem.

At any rate I am not sure its useful to describe over-consumption here, and lack of production there, as a distribution problem.

From a public policy perspective I think over consumption here can best be addressed as a health issue. Is there any other way? We don't live in a country that can order people to eat less or to eat one food over another. Typically we would suppress demand by increasing the price with taxes but in this case we already have the market providing that pressure.

There are many reasons for under production in the developing world. In some cases it may be hard to tell if under production is a cause, an effect or both:
- war and civil conflict
- lack of adequate protection for private property
- lack of rule of law in general
- lagging infrastructure (roads, water management)
- unfair competition due to western subsidies
...to name just a few

Each of these requires its own response but I think we can assume that in the current situation high prices will encourage more production. Knowing as we do the wide environmental effects of agriculture what should we do as a nation or a party to ensure that this increased activity occurs with social justice and ecological sustainability?

Could we work within the WTO to reduce western farm subsidies? Do we increase our participation with UN development programs? Do we provide financial support to like minded industry groups in host countries? Should we lobby host country ministries to ensure that sustainability is near the top their agendas? Or do we pursue all of the above?

How we understand a problem leads a great deal of the way to the solution.

--------------------

"...most of all market failures stemming from greed or selfishness."

As I understand things farm subsidies in western nations have historically created artificially low food prices making it hard for the developing world to increase their own domestic production. Is this a market failure or a governance failure?

While greed may be at the root, I think it is unfair to call this solely a market failure. Should we try to prevent people asking for assistance from governments (justified or not) or should we expect that our elected officials be able to act prudently and in the public interest when responding to such requests?

Markets provide the singularly irreplaceable service of price discovery. It is the baby in the bath water that is at risk of being tossed out when markets, or capitalism in general, are blamed.

Much public policy utilizes market influencing instruments such as; interest rates, product specific taxes, industry subsidies. If markets are to be a major tool in our policy tool box shouldn't we try to understand and respect the valuable service they provide? Markets are not people nor institutions, they are more akin to gravity (imho).

"...Addressing underlying issues of fair trade would be the most effective long-term way to address these problems...."

Agreed. I would define fair trade in a broad sense. Fair trade not solely in terms of fair treatment of employees, but also in ensuring that corporations do not externalize expenses into the commons. When the true costs of a business activity are externalized it provides false market information. This effect is frequently found in cases of environmental degradation. For example "coal is cheap" unless of course the cost of global climate change is added back into the balance sheet.

Powerful points on food issues

This article describes the long-term causes of the current food crisis (no, biofuel isn't one of them) and suggests a number of approaches to overcoming it:

http://www.thenation.com/doc/20080602/bello

Summary: decades of unfair trading practices and rich nations' one-sided interference in the agricultural policies of developing nations has caused those poorer nations to cease to be food exporters and instead become dependent on food imports - a sure recipe for disaster when something (anything) causes an increase food prices.

Erich Jacoby-Hawkins
Barrie, ON

The views I express on this blog are purely my own and should not be construed to represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada - the same goes for all other people's posts & comments.

Erich Jacoby-Hawkins, Barrie ON - although I'm on Cabinet (Nat'l Rev. and Ecol. Fiscal Reform), views here are my own and may not reflect official GPC positions. Please visit www.ErichtheGreen.ca

Dig the piece

Great Article Eric.

Joel Robitaille Halifax, Nova Scotia The opinions expressed here are mine and do not necessarily represent the official policy of the Green Party of Canada.

Long term solutions address root causes...

I agree with the article about speculation, globalization, subsidies and monoculture being root causes of the current problem. The article does talk about the effect of biofuel development and speculation/investment, though.

I know that war apologies are a bit of a no-no. Hope Chest versus War Chest, and all, but I'll indulge in one. I think we can look at agrofuels as a weapon and the overall food crisis as the war. While weapons of war do not start or cause conflicts, their employment increases the casualty rate.

I haven't seen any serious analysis, including the Nation article, that don't acknowledge that biofuel development, specifically agrofuel development, is one factor in the recent astronomical rise in food prices.

As I mentioned in another post, the blame cannot be placed on any one factor. Globalization and export-economy factors are significant and need to be addressed. However, even if we had the capacity and international will to undo the way in which international finance and trade has developed over the past few decades, we'd be looking at decades more of negotiations, tariff talks, long range crop planning, etc.

Commonsense tells us that if we take 30% of a massive corn crop and put it into ethanol, divert wheat and other food crops to corn for ethanol, subsidize agrofuel development, and mandate agrofuel content in gasoline that we are creating an attractive investment vehicle while reducing food production capacity.

That attractive investment is almost guaranteed to pay off due to government mandated increased usage of agrofuels. This breeds rampant commodities speculation, another weapon that's being employed to make money for some st the expense of third world lives.

I've seen estimates that place the effect of biofuels on world food prices as low as 5%. Most estimates are higher - in the 15% range. For the 1 billion people who are trying to survive on $1 a day, 5% means the the difference between life and death. We know that 24,000 people starve daily in a world where food supply is not the problem but where they simply can't afford to buy enough food to live.

The argument that biofuel development is an insignificant part of the food crisis and should not be dealt with reminds me of the oft-cited stat that Canada is only responsible for 2% of GHG's worldwide so we shouldn't bother reducing.

We need to deal with root causes if we are going to win this war but we need to start disarming for the sake of those millions who are already starving and the millions more who are threatened.

Jim Elve
Communications Chair
Haldimand-Norfolk
The views expressed here are mine alone and are not the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Jim Elve
The opinions expressed here are purely my own and do not represent official Green Party of Canada policy or positions.

Biofuels in perspective

I would never deny that biofuels are a part of the current food price increases, nor that we should have policy on them.

This crisis was a long time in coming and both inevitable and predictable due to decades of ill-advised IMF/WTO 'restructuring', population/wealth pressures, and climate issues. The sudden surge of biofuel production has merely brought it on a little sooner, which may be a good thing in the end if it forces us to fix the systemic problems causing this crisis.

However, the nature of the food crisis is not that food prices are going up. In fact, it is important in the long run that food prices do go up, as they have been too low for decades, with deleterious effects on farmers worldwide. It is also not that we don't have enough food, because we actually grow far more than we can eat - except that we choose to turn some into fuel for our transport-crazy culture and a lot more into excess meat that is, in fact, killing us off through preventable diet-related diseases.

The current crisis merely points out that too many people are so poor that they can't withstand a price increase in any necessity, and that too many areas are no longer self-sufficient in food production even though they could (and should) be. It is not a price crisis, but a poverty and food security crisis. Therefore, the solutions lie not in low food prices, but in a better food production model.

Only 50 years ago, most of the people in poorer regions were not affected by jumps in global food prices, because they grew most of their food locally and only sold a small surplus (if any). Their main food risk was local drought or war or other physical (not market) crises.

Now, however, many of these people either grow cash crops for export or have left the land as unprofitable and moved to good city jobs or slums - or, in some cases, are still on the land but aren't working it due to structural barriers. Because they buy (and import) most or all of their food instead of growing it, they are very vulnerable to price jumps from factors far beyond their control - from speculation, shortages in other countries, increased overseas demand (for meat in China or ethanol in Kansas), droughts on the other side of the world, etc.

Herein lies the key to a sustainable solution, and you can look for this thread to evaluate whether a commetator 'gets' the issue or whether they are in the band-aid mode that just perpetuates systemic problems.

If the solution is to return poor nations to a paradigm of local food production & security, selling any surplus, then it is pointing toward a healthy, fair and sustainable future. This vision sees the poor of the world becoming more wealthy and secure through self-sufficiency. If, instead, the vision is to return to providing cheap food the poor masses, then it merely perpetuates and even supports the twin evils of a world underclass and an unsustainable subsidy to rich nations' farming industries.

Both rich and poor nations need to support their farmers, but there are good and bad ways to support domestic farming.

Bad ways focus on providing crop subsidies - subsidizing inputs (seed, fertilizer, pesticides, machinery, fuel), fixing prices on crops (buying up crops at above-market rates then 'dumping' them below cost, buying surplus to give away as aid, etc.) or paying a salary to farmers unrelated to any ecological services provided. (Canada, the US, and Europe all indulge in most of these forms of subsidy). The effect of any of these is to lower food prices which hurts any farmers in countries that can't afford to provide such expensive subsidies - like most of the "majority world". This same kind of subsidy is what has made the American corn ethanol industry profitable or even possible - and what Canadian governments (federal & provincial) have been trying to emulate. Crop-based or export-based subsidies tend to lead to industrial/chemical farming, overproduction, soil erosion, etc.

Good ways to support farming are to ensure that the supports are in place for sustainable food production at real prices. These are things like providing training in farming methods (modern or traditional) to increase production and reduce soil erosion or crop loss; helping to establish transportation networks to get fresh food to market; irrigation systems that allow for shared infrastructure costs; supply-management systems to allow farmers to set prices instead of competing for lowest price; payments for ecological services (ALUS); researching crops & varieties for better yield or pest resistance or adaptation to local or changing climates; even good labelling, certification, or marketing systems to help promote local/domestic/organic healthy foods. Education of the public about the benefits of local food and the potential hazards of imported food (transport distance & decreased freshness, at least) can be a very powerful tool to support local farming. (Korean & Japanese shoppers, for example, have a cultural preference for buying expensive domestically-grown rice over cheap imported American rice - this should be promoted, not attacked).

General social services such as free public education, health care, child care, and other such benefits are also a good way to support farmers alongside the rest of the population. If farmers have to pay for such services, they will have to include it in the food price or deduct it from income.

Most of the 'bad' subsidies are discouraged under WTO but we persist through exemptions or promises to change eventually - even while forcing poor nations to follow the rules we don't. Most of the 'good' supports are NOT banned under WTO-type trade rules, so we can implement them at will. So can poor nations, although the IMF tries hard to discourage it.

Knee-jerk solutions such as Monbiot's proposed moratorium on biofuels won't do much to help. The poor will still be vulnerable to price increases in energy, water, medicine, or basic goods like shelter & clothing, not to mention vital services like health care & education. A return to cheap food (not even guaranteed even in the absence of biofuels) won't fix those other pressing vulnerabilities.

On the other hand, our current policies (not just GPC, but actually now in place at provincial and federal levels) mandating minimum biofuel content should be re-evaluated and changed or dropped. If maintained, they need to specify sustainable sources - which would rule out corn ethanol, for example. We should also bar any government subsidies except for research/startup of technologies that we believe could be sustainable, such as cellulosic ethanol or algae biodiesel. There is no point in simply banning biofuel production, but on a level playing field with full-cost accounting, the picture would be very different than it is now. Absent subsidies and with the proper taxes in place (such as on carbon emissions), any process that uses almost as much fossil fuels as the amount of fuel it produces (think corn ethanol) or that produced far more net carbon emissions than it saves (think clearing rainforest to grow palm oil or sugarcane) would not be financially feasible, so it would cease to atract investment capital. Sustainable biofuel production, such as from fibre waste or waste vegetable oil, would be free to flourish without creating harm to the poor or the Earth.

These are the concepts we need to encapsulate in our food, energy, emissions, and biofuel policy network.

Erich Jacoby-Hawkins
Barrie, ON

p.s. One potential source for 'sustainable' biofuels are the huge quantities of western forest killed by the pine beetle. Left standing, they will either rot producing methane or burn producing carbon (without any economic benefit). If we harvest what we can and turn it into fuel for pellet stoves or even liquid fuel through some chemical process, we can derive a carbon-neutral energy source to displace some use of fossil fuels. Either process would leave plenty of 'waste' material to return to the soil to fertilize the next generation of trees.

The views I express on this blog are purely my own and should not be construed to represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada - the same goes for all other people's posts & comments.

Erich Jacoby-Hawkins, Barrie ON - although I'm on Cabinet (Nat'l Rev. and Ecol. Fiscal Reform), views here are my own and may not reflect official GPC positions. Please visit www.ErichtheGreen.ca

Great points, Erich.

I don't disagree with anything you've said. I think we need to be looking at two facets of the current food crisis. There is an immediate situation which is the result of a confluence of factors, each contributing a portion. The immediate situation is that 24,000 people are starving to death today and another 24,000 will starve tomorrow. Worse, this figure is poised to go up by a large margin.

We need to make food affordable to these millions ASAP. We have no choice but to apply a band-aid until we can gather the wherewithal to do the necessary heavy lifting (i.e long term systemic change). If we know certain policies are exacerbating the immediate problem and we have the power to change those policies, we need to do so. Admittedly, applying the band-aid doesn't create a sustainable economy in third world nations.

Cellulosic ethanol and other biofuels made from waste has great promise. Unfortunately, agrofuels are getting most of the investment. We should continue R&D on "good" biofuel. We should discontinue any and all support for agrofuel. I agree we shouldn't simply ban biofuel across the board.

Jim Elve
Communications Chair
Haldimand-Norfolk
The views expressed here are mine alone and are not the official position of the Green Party of Canada.

Jim Elve
The opinions expressed here are purely my own and do not represent official Green Party of Canada policy or positions.

Managing the crisis

I'm certainly no expert in crisis management and try to spend as little time as possible dwelling on band-aids, so I'm handicapped here.

However, I'm pretty sure that neither banning biofuels (as some propose) nor fasting one day a week (as one of our bloggers suggested) will do anything to get food to those starving people in time. Most of the solutions at the systemic level are long-term by nature, and those include dropping biofuel subsidies and reducing our meat consumption.

In the short term, the only realistic measure is to provide more food aid in the form of cash to buy food, and in the form of direct food donations. The former will further raise global food prices but that would at least make biofuel (and meat) even less profitable. The latter will lower local food prices where aid is delivered, but in that case the long-term damage of low food prices has already been done. We must also use this crisis as a tool to argue for the kind of long-term systemic improvements that will prevent future such catastrophes, either because they are devastating to the poor or because they hurt our own pocketbooks (depending on whether your motivator is compassion or selfishness). The greatest value of a crisis is that it gives a wake-up call to change the behaviour which created it. We must ensure that the focus remains on long-term solutions instead of merely band-aids.

Erich Jacoby-Hawkins
Barrie, ON

The views I express on this blog are purely my own and should not be construed to represent the official position of the Green Party of Canada - the same goes for all other people's posts & comments.

Erich Jacoby-Hawkins, Barrie ON - although I'm on Cabinet (Nat'l Rev. and Ecol. Fiscal Reform), views here are my own and may not reflect official GPC positions. Please visit www.ErichtheGreen.ca